Even without Oregon to fall back on (they can’t seem to make the spreads big enough for the Ducks), I think I’ve got some winners here. I was tempted to recommend Colorado State getting 40 points against Alabama, since the Tide are coming off such a huge win and Saban might show some mercy against a former assistant, but I don’t think typical rules apply to Alabama.
Arizona State at Stanford -7
David Shaw has kept things pretty close to the vest, but don’t forget this is a national championship-caliber team. I needed to see more from Arizona State at home against Wisconsin to think they can hang with the Cardinal. It’s the only matchup of Top 25 teams this week, but it might not be all that exciting.
Michigan -19 at Connecticut
I’m counting on a refocused Michigan team after the scare against Akron. UConn is not a good team, having lost to Towson by 15. Michigan should have plenty of fans at the game in this rare trip to the East Coast.
Oregon State -9.5 at San Diego State
Even without running back Storm Woods, who is out with a concussion, Oregon State should put up a lot of points. The Aztecs have given up 40+ to each of their first two opponents and an average of 6.4 yards per play, which puts them in the bottom 25 in the country. The Oregon State defense has its own problems, but they won’t be exploited on Saturday.