Breaking Down 2016 FBS Conference Races After Week 11

Oct 29, 2016; Madison, WI, USA; Wisconsin Badgers wide receiver Robert Wheelwright (15) scores a touchdown during the third quarter against the Nebraska Cornhuskers at Camp Randall Stadium. Wisconsin won 23-17. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 29, 2016; Madison, WI, USA; Wisconsin Badgers wide receiver Robert Wheelwright (15) scores a touchdown during the third quarter against the Nebraska Cornhuskers at Camp Randall Stadium. Wisconsin won 23-17. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports /
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Nov 12, 2016; Annapolis, MD, USA; Navy Midshipmen quarterback Will Worth (15) runs for a touchdown against the Tulsa Golden Hurricane during the second half at Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 12, 2016; Annapolis, MD, USA; Navy Midshipmen quarterback Will Worth (15) runs for a touchdown against the Tulsa Golden Hurricane during the second half at Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports /

American Athletic Conference

The American Athletic Conference features one of the conference races that has only gotten more chaotic over the course of the season. Finally things are beginning to settle, so let’s quickly break down each of the two divisions.

AAC East

  • Temple (5-1 conference, 7-3 overall)
  • South Florida (5-1 conference, 8-2 overall)

South Florida has a better overall record, but Temple holds the tiebreaker in the AAC East race thanks to their the head-to-head win over the Bulls on October 21. USF needs to sweep its final two games of the regular season against SMU and UCF and for the Owls to lose to either Tulane or East Carolina to reach the AAC championship game.

AAC West

  • Navy (5-1 conference, 7-2 overall)
  • Houston (5-2 conference, 8-2 overall)
  • Tulsa (4-2 conference, 7-3 overall)

Given their head-to-head wins over both Houston and Tulsa, the Midshipmen would have to lose both of their final two conference games against East Carolina and SMU in order to lose the conference. In the unlikely event that Navy completely collapsed at this point, Houston would win the AAC West by virtue of its head-to-head win over Tulsa. After looking completely out of the race, Houston is back in the running for a New Year’s Six spot if they can run out the schedule and get another loss by Ken Niumatalolo’s team.