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Upset Watch: Possible Week 4 Mid-Major and FCS Upsets

By Zach Bigalke

Sep 19, 2015; Fort Worth, TX, USA; Southern Methodist Mustangs defensive back Horace Richardson (9) intercepts a ball and is chased by TCU Horned Frogs wide receiver Josh Doctson (9) during the game at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 19, 2015; Fort Worth, TX, USA; Southern Methodist Mustangs defensive back Horace Richardson (9) intercepts a ball and is chased by TCU Horned Frogs wide receiver Josh Doctson (9) during the game at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports /
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Sep 17, 2016; Syracuse, NY, USA; South Florida Bulls running back Darius Tice (13) runs with the ball during the second quarter of a game against the Syracuse Orange at the Carrier Dome. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 17, 2016; Syracuse, NY, USA; South Florida Bulls running back Darius Tice (13) runs with the ball during the second quarter of a game against the Syracuse Orange at the Carrier Dome. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports /

Florida State Seminoles at South Florida Bulls (Saturday/12:00 pm)

Louisville revealed some major cracks in the Florida State defense last Saturday, and while much of that was the work of Lamar Jackson it still showed that the Seminoles are mortal. Florida State also gave up 34 points to Ole Miss and had to engineer a comeback to win that game, and then got to play a depleted FCS team in their Louisville warmup. Dalvin Cook hasn’t been able to gain much traction on the ground, and is so far averaging 65 fewer yards per game than in 2015.

South Florida has the 31st-ranked rushing defense in the country, and they have the advantage of playing at home. The Bulls don’t have Lamar Jackson, but they do have junior quarterback Quinton Flowers. Flowers has a better stat line than Deondre Francois on the opposite sideline, and across the board the USF offense has been performing at a higher level than FSU even after accounting for discrepancies in strength of schedule. The likely end is that the Seminoles will get a big lead in front of a pro-FSU crowd, but an upset isn’t out of the realm of possibility and would have a huge impact on both teams’ seasons moving forward.

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