Upset Watch: Possible Week 12 Mid-Major and FCS Upsets

Oct 29, 2016; Houston, TX, USA; Houston Cougars defensive end Nick Thurman (91) celebrates after a defensive play during the fourth quarter against the Central Florida Knights at TDECU Stadium. The Cougars won 31-24. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 29, 2016; Houston, TX, USA; Houston Cougars defensive end Nick Thurman (91) celebrates after a defensive play during the fourth quarter against the Central Florida Knights at TDECU Stadium. The Cougars won 31-24. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports /
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Sep 19, 2015; Nashville, TN, USA; Austin Peay Governors running back Julian Franklin (32) rushes against the Vanderbilt Commodores during the second half at Vanderbilt Stadium. Vanderbilt won 47-7. Mandatory Credit: Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 19, 2015; Nashville, TN, USA; Austin Peay Governors running back Julian Franklin (32) rushes against the Vanderbilt Commodores during the second half at Vanderbilt Stadium. Vanderbilt won 47-7. Mandatory Credit: Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports /

FCS Austin Peay at Kentucky (Saturday/4:30 pm)

Kentucky missed out on its chance to remain in the hunt for the SEC East when they lost to Georgia and Tennessee over the past two weeks, but it would take a miracle for a winless FCS team to knock off the Wildcats this weekend. Austin Peay has lost all but two of its games so far in 2016 by double digits, in large part due to a defense that gives up over 500 yards and 46 points per game.

So the Governors are unlikely to make Kentucky work very hard this weekend. Austin Peay ranks 118th in rushing defense, while the Wildcats field a top-20 rushing attack. Expect Mark Stoops’ team to keep the ball on the ground for the most part, controlling the time of possession and outmuscling their FCS counterparts along both lines. While they are out of the running for the division title, Kentucky would need to completely fall apart to suffer an upset this weekend.