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Picking Every 2016-17 College Football Bowl Game Against the Spread

By Michael Collins

Jan 9, 2016; Phoenix, AZ, USA; General view of the college football playoff trophy during media day at Phoenix Convention Center. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
Jan 9, 2016; Phoenix, AZ, USA; General view of the college football playoff trophy during media day at Phoenix Convention Center. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports /
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Dec 10, 2016; Baltimore, MD, USA; Navy Midshipmen fullback Shawn White (31) runs as Army Black Knights defensive back Jack King (23) defends during the third quarter of the 117 annual Army Navy game at M&T Bank Stadium. Army Black Knights defeated Navy Midshipmen 21-17. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
Dec 10, 2016; Baltimore, MD, USA; Navy Midshipmen fullback Shawn White (31) runs as Army Black Knights defensive back Jack King (23) defends during the third quarter of the 117 annual Army Navy game at M&T Bank Stadium. Army Black Knights defeated Navy Midshipmen 21-17. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports /

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
Louisiana Tech (8-5, 6-2 C-USA) vs. No. 25 Navy (9-4, 7-1 AAC)
Dec. 23 – 4:30 p.m., ESPN
Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas

Average Line: Navy, -1

Three weeks ago, Navy might have been favored by 10 in this game. But the loss of quarterback Will Worth and tailback Toneo Gulley in the AAC Championship game was a huge blow, as seen by the Midshipmen’s performance against Army.

New QB Zach Abey is on his way to being a good one, but is still a little green to be coming up against a team like Louisiana Tech.

It’s tough to make a season-long comparison for Navy because this is such a vastly different team. But the one thing Navy has done well all year is create turnovers, especially forced fumbles. Defensively they are a middling team at best.

La Tech is one of those defensively horrible teams who wins by virtue of scoring a lot of points, regardless of how many the defense gives up.

Prediction: Navy’s ball-control offense should be enough to keep the La Tech offense on the sideline. Take the Midshipmen to cover the points.

Next: Dollar General Bowl

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