Picking Every 2016-17 College Football Bowl Game Against the Spread

Jan 9, 2016; Phoenix, AZ, USA; General view of the college football playoff trophy during media day at Phoenix Convention Center. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
Jan 9, 2016; Phoenix, AZ, USA; General view of the college football playoff trophy during media day at Phoenix Convention Center. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports /
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Nov 26, 2016; Tampa, FL, USA; UCF Knights running back Taj McGowan (12) celebrates after he scored a touchdown against the South Florida Bulls during the second half at Raymond James Stadium. South Florida Bulls defeated the UCF Knights 48-31. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 26, 2016; Tampa, FL, USA; UCF Knights running back Taj McGowan (12) celebrates after he scored a touchdown against the South Florida Bulls during the second half at Raymond James Stadium. South Florida Bulls defeated the UCF Knights 48-31. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports /

AutoNation Cure Bowl
UCF (6-6, 4-4 AAC) vs. Arkansas State (7-5, 7-1 Sun Belt)
Dec. 17 – 5:30 p.m., CBS Sports Network
Camping World Stadium, Orlando, Fla.

Average Line: UCF, -6

Vegas is giving a lot of respect to the Knights with a six point line here. Arkansas State is a pretty good team, and is more evenly matched than many might think on this one. Both offensively and defensively the stats are pretty equal, and both teams ended with the +3 in the turnover margin.

The American is undoubtedly a much tougher conference than the Sun Belt, so UCF gets some edge there for their wins, and the fact that this is essentially a home game for the Knights plays in their favor as well.

Prediction: Take the Knights and up to 7 points. The Red Wolves won’t be able to keep up in a shootout.

Next: New Orleans Bowl