Cincinnati Football: Bearcats are building for the long term

CINCINNATI, OH - OCTOBER 21: Head coach Luke Fickell of the Cincinnati Bearcats watches from the sideline during the game against the Southern Methodist Mustangs at Nippert Stadium on October 21, 2017 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)
CINCINNATI, OH - OCTOBER 21: Head coach Luke Fickell of the Cincinnati Bearcats watches from the sideline during the game against the Southern Methodist Mustangs at Nippert Stadium on October 21, 2017 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images) /
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(Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)
(Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images) /

Schedule and predictions

Week Date School   Opponent
1 Sep 1, 2018 Cincinnati @ UCLA
2 Sep 8, 2018 Cincinnati @ Miami (Ohio)
3 Sep 15, 2018 Cincinnati vs. Alabama A&M
4 Sep 22, 2018 Cincinnati vs. Ohio
5 Sep 29, 2018 Cincinnati @ UConn
6 Oct 6, 2018 Cincinnati vs. Tulane
7 Oct 13, 2018 Bye Week
8 Oct 20, 2018 Cincinnati @ Temple
9 Oct 27, 2018 Cincinnati @ SMU
10 Nov 3, 2018 Cincinnati vs. Navy
11 Nov 10, 2018 Cincinnati vs. USF
12 Nov 17, 2018 Cincinnati @ UCF
13 Nov 23, 2018 Cincinnati vs. East Carolina

It feels like a foregone conclusion that Cincinnati will be better in 2018. How much they improve by will likely dictate whether or not they return to the postseason for the first time since 2015.

One thing is for sure – if the Bearcats are to go bowling this season, they’ll need to take advantage of a relatively soft schedule during the first half of the season. A season-opening roadtrip to UCLA seems too tall a task for a rebuilding squad, but each of the next five games – Miami (Ohio), Alabama A&M, Ohio, UConn, and Tulane – is winnable. If the Bearcats could manage a 4-1 record over that stretch, a bowl bid goes from possible to probable.

Something closer to 3-2 seems more likely, though, meaning Cincy will have to pull an upset or two against a tough October and November slate to return. With a squad this talented, though, that’s perfectly doable.

Prediction: 6-6

The AAC has been kind to talent-rich teams looking to break out of a slump in recent years. From 2014 to 2016, USF improved from 4-8 to11-2; from 2015 to 2017, UCF improved from 0-12 to 13-0.

Is such a dramatic turnaround in the cards for the Bearcats? It’s not impossible, but with the level of turnover on this squad and the big areas of concern (offensive line, secondary), it seems more reasonable to expect a gradual rise from Fickell’s bunch. With a soft bottom to the AAC East and a non-conference schedule featuring just one Power Five team, there are enough winnable games for the Bearcats to go bowling again even with modest improvement.

Next: 10 coaches on the hottest seats in 2018

If that does indeed happen, and Fickell keeps up his momentum on the recruiting trail, watch out for this team in 2019 and beyond. It may not be long before the Bearcats start contending for conference titles again.