2018 College Football Playoff, bowl game predictions with confidence picks

NEW ORLEANS, LA - JANUARY 01: Head coach Nick Saban of the Alabama Crimson Tide and head coach Dabo Swinney of the Clemson Tigers greet after the AllState Sugar Bowl at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome on January 1, 2018 in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Sean Gardner/Getty Images)
NEW ORLEANS, LA - JANUARY 01: Head coach Nick Saban of the Alabama Crimson Tide and head coach Dabo Swinney of the Clemson Tigers greet after the AllState Sugar Bowl at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome on January 1, 2018 in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Sean Gardner/Getty Images) /
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(Photo by Chris Thelen/Getty Images)
(Photo by Chris Thelen/Getty Images) /

Raycom Media Camellia Bowl

Georgia Southern (9-3) vs Eastern Michigan (7-5)

Montgomery, Alabama

December 15 – 5:30 p.m. ET

TV: ESPN

It was tough to get an accurate gauge on the quality of Georgia Southern this season because they had remarkable turnover luck. The Eagles were a +22 in turnover margin, a full six more than any other team.

Georgia Southern does a remarkable job taking care of the football, only turning it over five times all season long. Their option attack, led by QB Shai Werts and RB Wesley Fields is tough to stop, particularly against opponents who aren’t used to defending it. They grind it out and keep the opposing offense on the sideline for long stretches of game time.

This game still feels like a toss-up to me, though, because Georgia Southern’s greatest asset (turnovers) is neutralized against an Eastern Michigan team that ranks among the nation’s best in turnover margin as well. If the Eagles from the MAC avoid turning the ball over, then they have a shot at knocking off the Eagles from the Sun Belt.

Eastern Michigan is hot, having won five of their last six games to finish the season after a 2-4 start, but I think Georgia Southern’s ball-control offense will prove to be the difference in a close game.

Pick: Georgia Southern 27, Eastern Michigan 24

Confidence Points: 2