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Baylor Football: 3 overreactions to triple-overtime win at TCU

By John Scimeca

FORT WORTH, TEXAS - NOVEMBER 09: Denzel Mims #5 of the Baylor Bears tries to hang on to the ball on a two-point attempt against the TCU Horned Frogs in the third overtime period at Amon G. Carter Stadium on November 09, 2019 in Fort Worth, Texas. (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)
FORT WORTH, TEXAS - NOVEMBER 09: Denzel Mims #5 of the Baylor Bears tries to hang on to the ball on a two-point attempt against the TCU Horned Frogs in the third overtime period at Amon G. Carter Stadium on November 09, 2019 in Fort Worth, Texas. (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images) /
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WACO, TX – OCTOBER 31: Fans cheer on the Baylor Bears before action against the West Virginia Mountaineers at McLane Stadium on October 31, 2019 in Waco, Texas. (Photo by Adrian Garcia/Getty Images)
WACO, TX – OCTOBER 31: Fans cheer on the Baylor Bears before action against the West Virginia Mountaineers at McLane Stadium on October 31, 2019 in Waco, Texas. (Photo by Adrian Garcia/Getty Images) /

2. Bears have ruined their chances of making the CFP

Baylor added another close win to its ledger from Week 11. The triple-overtime victory, coupled with three other wins by a field goal or less against Big 12 teams, make it seem like the Bears don’t have the optics to qualify as one of the nation’s four best teams by the season’s end.

Baylor, too, has a weak lineup of non-conference opponents: FCS-level Stephen F. Austin, UTSA, and winless Rice are the sugariest of cupcakes that you can order for a Power Five football schedule.

So has another close win cost the Bears the necessary criteria to pass the “eye test” against one-loss teams like Alabama, Georgia, Utah, and Oregon?

I’d say no. If Baylor wins against OU this weekend, it will likely face the Sooners in a rematch for the Big 12 Championship Game. The Bears will need to finish the season undefeated. If Clemson gets a pass for its weak schedule (even though the Tigers are outscoring their opponents by a significantly higher margin), then Baylor would likely still have the benefit of the doubt as an undefeated Power 5 conference champion for the CFP committee.

This scenario is, of course, only applicable if Baylor wins out to finish 13-0 at the end of the season.

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