College Football: 5 takeaways from an upset-filled Week 10

Nov 6, 2021; West Lafayette, Indiana, USA; Purdue Boilermakers cornerback Dedrick Mackey (1) celebrates his interception with teammates in the second half against the Michigan State Spartans at Ross-Ade Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 6, 2021; West Lafayette, Indiana, USA; Purdue Boilermakers cornerback Dedrick Mackey (1) celebrates his interception with teammates in the second half against the Michigan State Spartans at Ross-Ade Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports /
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Butch Dill-USA TODAY Sports
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The College Football Playoff picture is becoming clear

The one thing College Football Week 10 did was offer some clarity on the race for the College Football Playoff.

Wake Forest and the ACC are out. And now, there are a few teams that control their own destiny which are Georgia, Alabama, Oregon, Ohio State, and Michigan State.

Of all the teams in the top 10, only these five don’t need help from anyone else to get into the College Football Playoff.

When the new rankings come out, expect Oregon to move up to the third spot and Ohio State to No. 4. Cincy will be fifth, followed by Michigan State is my guess then Michigan and OU.

The committee does do strange things, but MSU should get credit for its head-to-head win and I see no reason to move Oklahoma ahead of the Spartans or Wolverines. If a one-loss Michigan team is ahead of Oklahoma, MSU should be too.

Michigan State’s loss hurt and could open the door for Michigan, but the Spartans are in the same exact position they were prior to the loss: win out and you’re in.

Michigan State plays Ohio State in two weeks and if the Spartans win that game, plus the rest, they will reach the Big Ten title game and if they are a one-loss Big Ten champion, they are guaranteed to get a berth.

The same can be said for Ohio State and Michigan, although the Wolverines need OSU to beat MSU, then would have to win out including a win over Ohio State which hasn’t happened since 2011.

Winning games 20-14 over LSU isn’t going to help Alabama’s chances of making the playoff as a two-loss team but it’s not impossible.

Georgia if it wins out in the regular season will have a berth and Bama too as long as it beats Georgia. The Big Ten will get a team in so the best path for Cincinatti is for Oregon and Oklahoma to lose. Then, the Bearcats won’t need to worry about Bama.

In that scenario, Cincy would get a berth, as well as the Big Ten champion. Georgia would be in and it would just depend on Alabama. If the Tide won the SEC title game, they would be in we’d have our four teams.

But if Alabama finished with two losses, then it could be chaos. Oklahoma could still make it as a one-loss Big 12 champion or if the Tide loses a close game to Georgia, maybe it gets in at 11-2.

Either way, Cincy is in a decent spot but it doesn’t control its own destiny.