Vegas SEC Predictions Week 14: The Egg Bowl, The Iron Bowl, and More

Nov 22, 2014; Fayetteville, AR, USA; Ole Miss Rebels offensive lineman Justin Bell (68) returns to the sideline after a series in the game against the Arkansas Razorbacks at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. Arkansas defeated Mississippi 30-0. Mandatory Credit: Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports

No. 4 Mississippi State Bulldogs at No. 19 Ole Miss Rebels

SEC Game of the Week

Line: Mississippi State by 2.5

Saturday Blitz Vegas SEC Prediction: Ole Miss Wins 20-17

In the most exciting Egg Bowl that may ever be played, this was the hardest pick to make. We understand what Mississippi State is playing for, and we also understand what happened to Ole Miss last week against Arkansas.

But if you had a gun to your head right now and took your emotions out of it, could you honestly trust Mississippi State to finish the season at 11-1 and beat Ole Miss on the road? We couldn’t.

Despite giving away the game to Alabama and Ole Miss’s loss to Arkansas, the Bulldogs are playing the game in Oxford. That’s the first reason to pick against them. Also, Ole Miss still has a great defense loaded with talent, and many of these guys could force Dak Prescott into turning the ball over the same way Alabama did. That’s another reason to pick them.

Finally, Mississippi State’s defense has still not shown itself to be great, and despite Bo Wallace’s failure as a quarterback, Hugh Freeze will be able to take the pressure off of him as the Rebels move the ball just enough to pull out the victory.

Ole Miss wins a defensive struggle at home, forcing Mississippi State into making too many turnovers to overcome and eliminating them from College Football Playoff contention.

Next: LSU-Texas A&M Prediction