Picking Every 2016-17 College Football Bowl Game Against the Spread

Jan 9, 2016; Phoenix, AZ, USA; General view of the college football playoff trophy during media day at Phoenix Convention Center. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
Jan 9, 2016; Phoenix, AZ, USA; General view of the college football playoff trophy during media day at Phoenix Convention Center. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports /
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Dec 19, 2015; New Orleans, LA, USA; A general view of the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in the second quarter of the 2015 New Orleans Bowl between the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and the Arkansas State Red Wolves. Mandatory Credit: Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports
Dec 19, 2015; New Orleans, LA, USA; A general view of the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in the second quarter of the 2015 New Orleans Bowl between the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and the Arkansas State Red Wolves. Mandatory Credit: Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports /

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Southern Mississippi (6-6, 4-4 C-USA) vs. Louisiana-Lafayette (6-6, 5-3 Sun Belt)
Dec. 17 – 9 p.m., ESPN
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans

Average Line: Southern Miss, -3.5

Of the smaller bowl games, this is absolutely one of the most difficult to call. This one will probably come down to making some big defensive plays.

Southern Mississippi ranks 14th nationally in total defense, while ULL is 105th in total offense. Big edge to the Golden Eagles there. But the one stat that has to jump out is that Southern Miss is a terrible -16 in turnover margin on the season.

Look for ULL to take the ball away a few times, which could make the difference in this game. Still pretty close to call.

Prediction: I don’t like teams who can’t take care of the football. Take ULL to beat the 3.5 point spread.

Next: Miami Beach Bowl