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Picking Every 2016-17 College Football Bowl Game Against the Spread

By Michael Collins

Jan 9, 2016; Phoenix, AZ, USA; General view of the college football playoff trophy during media day at Phoenix Convention Center. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
Jan 9, 2016; Phoenix, AZ, USA; General view of the college football playoff trophy during media day at Phoenix Convention Center. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports /
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Dec 3, 2016; Bowling Green, KY, USA; Western Kentucky Hilltoppers offensive lineman Darrell Williams Jr. (62) and teammate Hilltoppers offensive lineman Forrest Lamp (76) hold the CUSA championship trophy following the game against the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium. Western Kentucky won 58-44. Mandatory Credit: Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports
Dec 3, 2016; Bowling Green, KY, USA; Western Kentucky Hilltoppers offensive lineman Darrell Williams Jr. (62) and teammate Hilltoppers offensive lineman Forrest Lamp (76) hold the CUSA championship trophy following the game against the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium. Western Kentucky won 58-44. Mandatory Credit: Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports /

Boca Raton Bowl
Memphis (8-4, 5-3 AAC) vs. Western Kentucky (10-3, 7-1 C-USA)
Dec. 20 – 7 p.m., ESPN
FAU Stadium, Boca Raton, Fla.

Average Line: WKU, -4.5

Western Kentucky finished 2nd in the nation in scoring offense at 45.1 points per game (Louisville was first at 45.3), and they were also 2nd in the nation in plays of over 20 yards from scrimmage with 94 of them (Louisville had 97).

Those stats all add up to trouble for Memphis, who allowed 27 points, 442 total yards and 243 passing yards per game this season. The Tigers weren’t so bad on offense themselves, but were nowhere near what WKU was able to produce.

The great equalizer for the Tigers could be turnovers, where they finished +10 this season. If Memphis can create some turnovers and keep WKU’s offense off the field they have a chance.

Prediction: WKU will just have too much for Memphis to handle in the passing game. It won’t be a blowout, but the Hilltoppers should cover up to 6.

Next: Poinsettia Bowl

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