West Virginia Football: 3 bold predictions vs. Iowa State in Week 10

MORGANTOWN, WV - OCTOBER 28: Will Grier #7 of the West Virginia Mountaineers rushes against Tre Flowers #31 of the Oklahoma State Cowboys at Mountaineer Field on October 28, 2017 in Morgantown, West Virginia. (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images)
MORGANTOWN, WV - OCTOBER 28: Will Grier #7 of the West Virginia Mountaineers rushes against Tre Flowers #31 of the Oklahoma State Cowboys at Mountaineer Field on October 28, 2017 in Morgantown, West Virginia. (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images) /
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MORGANTOWN, WV – OCTOBER 28: Will Grier #7 of the West Virginia Mountaineers rushes against Tre Flowers #31 of the Oklahoma State Cowboys at Mountaineer Field on October 28, 2017 in Morgantown, West Virginia. (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images)
MORGANTOWN, WV – OCTOBER 28: Will Grier #7 of the West Virginia Mountaineers rushes against Tre Flowers #31 of the Oklahoma State Cowboys at Mountaineer Field on October 28, 2017 in Morgantown, West Virginia. (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images) /

1. Take the Under

The over/under for the game is at 62, according to SportsBook Review. That seems small since it is a Big 12 but I don’t see this game  being a high-scoring Big 12 shootout.

The Mountaineers will want to play ball control and run at this Iowa State defense. I think there will be a bunch of drives of 10-plus plays for West Virginia and see them scoring about 24-31.

As for the road team, Iowa State has not scored more than 40 points on the road to a Power Five opponent. And every week they are scoring less points on the road. The Cyclones’ first road game against Akron was 41 and then they put up 38 against Oklahoma and then only scored only scored 31 against Texas Tech.

I expect a pretty stagnant game on the road for the Cyclones. David Montgomery needs to have a solid game for the Cyclones to win. If he has over 4.0 yards per carry, they will win, but if he has less than 4.0, I don’t see them winning and not generating enough points to get to the over.

Montgomery has rushed for under 3.0 yards per carry three times. In those three games, they average only 23 points.

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I would take the under and expect a weird defensive Big 12 matchup.