Arizona Football: 5 reasons Khalil Tate will win 2018 Heisman Trophy

(Photo by Jennifer Stewart/Getty Images)
(Photo by Jennifer Stewart/Getty Images) /
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(Photo by Jennifer Stewart/Getty Images)
(Photo by Jennifer Stewart/Getty Images) /

3. Improved touchdown-to-turnover ratio in 2018

A big part of working with Sumlin will be cutting down on turnovers. In his Heisman season, Manziel had nine interceptions on 434 passing attempts. Tate threw nine picks last season on just 179 attempts. With a year of experience under his belt, Tate will be more acclimated to the pace of college football and focusing on the passing game.

Tate also lost three fumbles over the course of the season. In essence, he gave up an average of 1.3 turnovers per start. Experience will help cut down on miscues, and Sumlin will help to put Tate into a system that most effectively capitalizes on his talents.

To get into Heisman range, Tate will need to cut his interception rate at least in half. Since Eric Crouch in 2001, no Heisman-winning quarterback has finished with an interception rate higher than 2.6 percent. With nine interceptions on 179 attempts last year, Tate finished with a five-percent interception rate in 2017.

Projecting that Tate will attempt around 25 passes per game and run 10 to 15 times per outing, that would put him at around 300 passing attempts over the course of the regular season. He will need to throw no more than seven interceptions. Understanding that fumbles are a risk when one runs the ball as much as Tate, he will also need to cut at least one fumble from last season’s total. If he can cut his total turnovers under one per game, Tate could put up some serious Heisman numbers.