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College football bowl projections 2019, Week 7: New Year’s Six takes shape

By John Mitchell

COLUMBUS, OH - OCTOBER 5: J.K. Dobbins #2 of the Ohio State Buckeyes takes off on a 67-yard touchdown run in the second quarter as Joe Bachie #35 of the Michigan State Spartans and Josiah Scott #22 of the Michigan State Spartans give pursuit at Ohio Stadium on October 5, 2019 in Columbus, Ohio. (Photo by Jamie Sabau/Getty Images)
COLUMBUS, OH - OCTOBER 5: J.K. Dobbins #2 of the Ohio State Buckeyes takes off on a 67-yard touchdown run in the second quarter as Joe Bachie #35 of the Michigan State Spartans and Josiah Scott #22 of the Michigan State Spartans give pursuit at Ohio Stadium on October 5, 2019 in Columbus, Ohio. (Photo by Jamie Sabau/Getty Images) /
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College football’s week 6 produced mostly expected results, but the bowl projections still had some major changes as contenders emerge.

The bowl projections remain fluid with changes every week, but the top contenders across college football continue to separate themselves from the pack as we inch closer to the halfway point of the regular season.

Right now, we have a pretty decent idea of what the College Football Playoff field will look like, though the teams could certainly change.

The SEC, while maybe not as deep as recent seasons, is the strongest conference at the top. Barring mass chaos, the SEC champion will be in the playoff field, even if that team doesn’t finish undefeated. A second SEC team could very well end up in the playoff as well, with one-loss teams like LSU, Georgia, or Florida having excellent resumes.

An undefeated, or even potentially a one loss Big Ten champion in Ohio State or Wisconsin (or Penn State!) will also likely be in the playoff. Undefeated or one loss Oklahoma or Texas would likely find themselves in the playoff as well with a conference title under their belt.

Undefeated Clemson is a playoff lock, but the Tigers look more vulnerable than initially expected.

The Pac-12 has seemingly played itself out of the playoff after just one weekend of October. Oregon represents the conference’s best shot at making the playoff, but the Ducks haven’t quite lived up to preseason hype aside from one dominant game against Nevada.

The New Year’s Six remains unchanged this week, but several teams made statements to threaten the established order. Florida’s defense dominated in a 24-13 win over Auburn to leapfrog the Tigers to the precipice of the New Year’s Six. The Gators are certainly better and more deserving of a spot, but conference tie-ins will likely allow a mediocre ACC team access as long as Clemson holds up its end of the deal and gets a playoff spot.

Let’s see what changed in this edition of the bowl projections:

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