Wake Forest football has been sitting pretty so far this season, headlined by a top-20 ranking and goose egg in their loss column heading into week seven.
However, the struggles of their regular season are seemingly yet to begin, as the stretch concludes with three brutal road games and a home meeting with NC State, a rival who is also ranked (No. 22). Especially when considering that Wake is already known for choking away the second halves of their seasons, that run is as threatening as can be for the Demon Deacons.
But what Wake Forest is also known for is not being good; yet here they are at 6-0, which is their strongest start since 1944. With that in mind, perhaps it is time to throw any stereotypes regarding the ACC power out the window, at least for this wacky year.
Wake began the season blowing their opponents out of the water, winning their first four games by 20 points or more. But since then, the Deacs have looked less awe-inducing, escaping back-to-back inferior foes by three points each (Louisville and Syracuse, respectively).
So, it is safe to say that Wake Forest is a tad difficult to read right now. But nonetheless, the objective for today is to try to mathematically determine their chances of winning out and entering the postseason 12-0.
We are going to do this by taking what I believe is an appropriate estimate of Wake’s chances to beat each remaining adversary on their schedule and then multiplying all of the percentages together.
Without further ado, let’s get started.