College football bowl projections after Week 10

Georgia quarterback Carson Beck (15) heads to the locker room after a NCAA college football game against Missouri in Athens, Ga., on Saturday, Nov. 4, 2023. Georgia won 30-21.
Georgia quarterback Carson Beck (15) heads to the locker room after a NCAA college football game against Missouri in Athens, Ga., on Saturday, Nov. 4, 2023. Georgia won 30-21. /
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After Week 10 of college football season, we update our bowl projections, New Year’s Six bowl projections, and College Football Playoff projections. 

It was another exciting week on the gridiron and the College Football Playoff race continues to take shape. 

Oklahoma was knocked out of the playoff chase on Saturday. Missouri was too and some said LSU had an outside shot, but the Tigers also saw their hopes end, just like we saw Notre Dame’s New Year’s Six Bowl hopes were also dashed.

Here are our updated College Football Playoff and New Year’s Six Bowl projections, as well as the bowl projections for the rest of the college football postseason.

College Football Bowl projections: Playoff games

National title game: Michigan vs. Georgia

Rose Bowl: Michigan vs. Florida State

Sugar Bowl: Georgia vs. Oregon

Thoughts on College Football Playoff projections

There are no changes here in our College Football Playoff projections. Michigan won by 28 and is beating teams by an average of 38 so far without Connor Stalions. We’ll see what happens this week at Penn State, which still has a viable path to the College Football Playoff win a win.

If Penn State beats Michigan, the Nittany Lions would likely win a three-way tiebreaker between Ohio State, Michigan, and Penn State if the Wolverines beat the Buckeyes.

So if the Nittany Lions can beat Michigan and keep getting help from Iowa, Penn State could win the Big Ten and make the playoff, although they aren’t a guarantee to be selected over a team like Texas.

Alabama controls its own destiny and if the Tide wins out and beats Georiga — they will head to the playoff. Ohio State is also No. 1 right now but needs to prove it can beat Michigan before I put the Buckeyes in the College Fooball Playoff projections.

Next up, we offer up our latest New Year’s Six Bowl projections.