It's very clear why Bowling Green could give Texas A&M a serious challenge

As Texas A&M prepares to face Bowling Green State University (BGSU) in what most analysts expect to be a straightforward game, there are several reasons why this matchup might be more competitive than it appears on paper.

BGSU's near-upset against Penn State revealed key strengths that could challenge the Aggies. With impressive third-down efficiency, a seasoned quarterback in Connor Bazelak who is familiar with Texas A&M’s defense, and an aggressive approach on defense, BGSU has the tools to make this game a lot closer than expected.

Here are three clear reasons Bowling Green has a chance to give Texas A&M trouble.

1. Bowling Green excels at third-down efficiency

Bowling Green’s ability to convert on third downs has been one of their strongest assets this season. Through the first two games, the Falcons have converted an impressive 52% of their third-down opportunities​. This isn’t just a statistic; it’s a critical factor that allowed them to keep their game against Penn State close and could very well play a pivotal role in their matchup against Texas A&M.

Third-down conversions are vital in extending drives, maintaining offensive momentum, and keeping the opposing defense on the field. For Bowling Green, sustaining drives will be one of the key factors in keeping this game competitive.

Texas A&M, on the other hand, has had moments of inconsistency in preventing opponents from converting on third downs, which could be an opening for BGSU. The Aggies’ defense is known for its aggressive schemes and ability to create pressure, but if Bowling Green can continue their efficient third-down play, they may be able to keep Texas A&M’s defense on the field longer than anticipated. The more time the Falcons’ offense stays on the field, the more opportunities they have to wear down the Aggie defense and exploit any potential weaknesses.

Moreover, third-down efficiency is a reflection of a well-prepared and well-executed offensive strategy. BGSU’s coaching staff will likely focus on keeping the offense in manageable third-down situations, relying on a balanced attack between their run and pass games. With an experienced quarterback like Connor Bazelak at the helm, Bowling Green has the tools to execute on these critical downs.

If Texas A&M’s defense struggles to shut down the Falcons on third downs, this game could get much more competitive than expected, putting the Aggies on their heels. A strong showing on third down would allow Bowling Green to control the tempo, potentially frustrating an A&M defense that’s built around aggression and speed.

2. Connor Bazelak’s experience: Familiarity breeds confidence

One of the most intriguing factors in this matchup is Bowling Green’s quarterback, Connor Bazelak. Bazelak brings a wealth of experience to the field, not only from his time at Bowling Green but also from his tenure as the starting quarterback for Missouri in the SEC​.

During his time at Missouri, Bazelak faced Texas A&M and Mike Elko’s defense, giving him a unique advantage going into this game. That familiarity with Elko’s schemes, now as head coach of Texas A&M, could be crucial in allowing Bazelak to identify defensive setups and make quick adjustments at the line of scrimmage.

Facing an SEC-caliber defense is no small task, and Bazelak’s prior experience with the Aggies could give him the confidence he needs to make quick decisions and execute the Falcons’ offensive game plan.

Against Penn State, Bazelak demonstrated his poise and ability to lead the offense in critical moments, and his leadership will be essential against a Texas A&M defense that prides itself on creating pressure and forcing mistakes. Bazelak’s familiarity with Texas A&M’s defensive tendencies could allow him to exploit any weaknesses he identifies, particularly if the Aggies continue to suffer from injuries in their secondary​.

For Bowling Green, having a quarterback who understands the Aggies’ defensive strategies provides a significant tactical advantage. Bazelak won’t be easily rattled by the speed and physicality of Texas A&M’s defense, and his ability to manage the game under pressure could keep BGSU in contention deep into the second half. Furthermore, Bazelak’s composure in high-pressure situations will be crucial if Bowling Green finds itself in a tight game late in the fourth quarter.

The Aggies have been vulnerable at times, particularly when facing efficient, experienced quarterbacks. If Bazelak can play mistake-free football and capitalize on his familiarity with Elko’s system, Bowling Green has the potential to keep this game closer than anyone expects.

3. Bowling Green's aggressive defense can disrupt A&M’s rushing attack

Bowling Green’s defense may not have the same star power as Texas A&M’s offense, but they have shown an ability to be disruptive, especially when it comes to getting after the quarterback. The Falcons have registered seven sacks in their first two games​, which speaks to their aggressive approach on defense.

They don’t just sit back and wait for things to happen; they actively look to create chaos in the backfield. Against a Texas A&M team that will likely lean on their rushing attack, BGSU’s ability to bring pressure could be key in slowing the Aggies down.

Texas A&M has rushed for over 300 yards in back-to-back games, and they will undoubtedly look to establish the ground game early against Bowling Green​. However, if Bowling Green’s defensive front can hold their own and get penetration, they could force Texas A&M into uncomfortable situations.

One area where the Aggies have been vulnerable is pre-snap penalties and offensive line inconsistencies​. If Bowling Green’s defense can capitalize on these mistakes, they could keep the Aggies from gaining the momentum they need to run away with the game.

Moreover, Bowling Green’s defense thrives in third-down situations, allowing just 26% of third-down conversions this season​. If the Falcons can put the Aggies in third-and-long situations by shutting down their run game on early downs, they could force Texas A&M into more predictable passing situations. This is where BGSU’s pass rush could become a major factor.

The Aggies’ quarterback situation remains in flux, with injuries affecting their lineup​. If Bowling Green can pressure the QB and disrupt the timing of Texas A&M’s offense, they could create turnovers or force punts, keeping the game closer than most anticipate.

Bowling Green’s aggressive defense, combined with Texas A&M’s occasional struggles with penalties and consistency, creates an intriguing matchup. The Falcons don’t need to dominate on defense; they just need to create enough disruption to throw the Aggies off balance. If they can do that, they have a legitimate chance to keep this game within reach.

Why the Bowling Green vs Texas A&M matchup should not be overlooked

Bowling Green may be seen as heavy underdogs heading into this game, but the Falcons possess several key advantages that could make this contest much more competitive than expected. Their elite third-down efficiency, the experience and poise of quarterback Connor Bazelak, and an aggressive defense that thrives on creating pressure all combine to give BGSU a real shot at making Texas A&M uncomfortable.

If the Falcons can execute on these fronts, we could see a much closer game than many anticipate, potentially putting Texas A&M on upset alert.