SEC Football 2024: Predictions, Projections, and Potential Surprises

The 2024 SEC football season is poised to be a blockbuster, with newcomers Texas and Oklahoma joining.
Texas Longhorns head football coach, Steve Sarkisian during the first day with pads in fall football camp practice for the Texas Longhorns at Denius Fields on Monday, August 5, 2024.
Texas Longhorns head football coach, Steve Sarkisian during the first day with pads in fall football camp practice for the Texas Longhorns at Denius Fields on Monday, August 5, 2024. / Ricardo B. Brazziell/American-Statesman / USA TODAY NETWORK
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With the 2024 SEC football season rapidly approaching, the landscape of college football's most dominant conference looks both familiar and refreshingly new.

With the addition of Texas and Oklahoma, the SEC now boasts 16 powerhouse programs, each vying for a spot in the expanded 12-team College Football Playoff.

Let's break down the projections for each team and identify potential surprises in what promises to be an electrifying season.

Projected SEC Rankings and Records:

1. Georgia (12-0)
2. Texas (11-1)
3. LSU (10-2)
4. Ole Miss (10-2)
5. Tennessee (10-2)
6. Alabama (9-3)
7. Missouri (9-3)
8. Oklahoma (8-4)
9. Florida (7-5)
10. Auburn (7-5)
11. Texas A&M (7-5)
12. Kentucky (6-6)
13. South Carolina (4-8)
14. Mississippi State (4-8)
15. Arkansas (3-9)
16. Vanderbilt (3-9)

Tier 1: National Championship Contenders

Georgia remains the team to beat, with quarterback Carson Beck poised to lead the Bulldogs to another undefeated regular season. In its SEC debut, Texas looks formidable despite recent setbacks in the running back room.

Both teams are expected to meet in Atlanta for the SEC Championship game.


LSU, with its high-powered offense led by quarterback Garrett Nussmeier, could be a dark horse for the national title. The Tigers' success will largely depend on defensive improvements from last season.

Tier 2: Playoff Contenders

Tennessee, with exciting young quarterback Nico Iamaleava, has the potential to surprise many and make a strong push for the playoff.

Alabama, despite being in a "rebuilding" year by their lofty standards, still has the talent to compete at the highest level.

After a strong 2023 campaign, Missouri looks to build on that success and potentially crash the playoff party.

Tier 3: Bowl Contenders

Oklahoma faces a challenging first year in the SEC, with an 8-4 ceiling that might disappoint some Sooners fans. Auburn and Texas A&M are wild cards, with the potential to exceed expectations or fall short.

Surprise Teams to Watch:

Florida (7-5): Despite facing the toughest schedule in the country, the Gators could surprise many by reaching bowl eligibility. Billy Napier's seat may be hot, but if he can navigate this brutal slate and show improvement, it could buy him more time in Gainesville.

Ole Miss (10-2): The Rebels, led by senior quarterback Jaxson Dart, have the pieces in place to make a serious run at the SEC West title. Their high-powered offense, combined with a manageable schedule, could see them emerge as a dark horse playoff contender.

Key Storylines:

Texas and Oklahoma's SEC Debut: All eyes will be on how these former Big 12 powerhouses adapt to life in the SEC. Texas looks primed for immediate success, while Oklahoma may face some growing pains.


Alabama's "Down" Year?: With a projected 9-3 record, this could be Alabama's most challenging season in recent memory. How will Jalen Milroe develop as a passer, and can the Tide maintain their dynasty status?

Georgia's Quest for a Three-peat: The Bulldogs have dominated college football for two years. Can they maintain that level of excellence with Carson Beck under center?

SEC in the Expanded Playoff: With the new 12-team format, the SEC could potentially send five or more teams to the playoff. This adds intrigue to every conference matchup.


Coaches on the Hot Seat: Billy Napier (Florida), Sam Pittman (Arkansas), and Shane Beamer (South Carolina) all need strong seasons to secure their futures.

As we prepare for kickoff, one thing is certain: SEC football in 2024 promises to be as thrilling and unpredictable as ever. With new blood in the conference, established powerhouses, and hungry underdogs, every Saturday will be must-watch television for college football fans nationwide.

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